The Daily Parker

Politics, Weather, Photography, and the Dog

The evolution of craft breweries

The forecast today looks perfect: 21°C under sunny skies. Perfect for a Brews and Choos trip! And while one of the stops will be to a brewery that could under no circumstances be called "craft," the other stop will take us to a brewery incubator suspiciously close to Wrigley Field.

Fitting, then, that Crain's reports today about how craft breweries have had to evolve to stay in business:

After a decade of unbridled growth, the industry hit a rough patch in the years following the pandemic. Ten percent of the state’s roughly 300 craft breweries closed between 2022 and 2023. Consumers did not return to taprooms after COVID restrictions lifted. Retail beer sales sagged as people turned toward wine, spirits and canned cocktails. The price of ingredients, like grain and aluminum cans, skyrocketed, but people will only pay so much for a beer. Craft breweries that took out big loans to survive the pandemic could not pay them back.

The moment proved to be a crucible. In need of additional revenue, the survivors evolved. They rolled out non-alcoholic options, food menus and THC-infused beverages. In aid, Illinois introduced a new brewer license category that allowed breweries to sell wine and spirits in addition to beer. To stay afloat now, craft breweries must look a lot more like Brother Chimp and a lot less like the taprooms of the 2010s that sold nothing but their own beer.

As craft breweries’ business models have evolved over the past couple of years, their numbers have improved, said Ray Stout, executive director of the Illinois Craft Brewers Guild. Only four craft breweries in the state closed between Jan. 1, 2024, and June 30, 2025. In that same period, 16 breweries opened or expanded.

By Stout’s count, Illinois now has 308 breweries. That’s a record high for the state’s almost $2.9 billion industry.

Beneath those improving numbers, though, the headwinds remain. Craft beer sales in stores are down about 4% compared to a year ago, according to data from market research firm NielsenIQ. The average price for a case was up about 2%.

And would you just look, the article goes into detail about our second stop!

Four-day weekend starting in 3 hours

This weekend, I expect to finish a major personal (non-technical) project I started on June 15th, walk 20 km (without Cassie), and thanks to the desperation of the minor-league team on the South Side of Chicago, attend a Yankees game. It helps that the forecast looks exactly like one would want for the last weekend of summer: highs in the mid-20s and partly cloudy skies.

I might have time to read all of these things as well:

Meanwhile, my birthday ribs order got delayed. One of the assistant butchers backed into a meat grinder, so they got behind in their work. He was the biggest ass in the shop until he recently got unseated, so I don't feel too bad for making him the butt of my jokes.

G'nite.

Teasing Autumn

The temperature at Inner Drive World HQ bottomed out at 14.6°C at 6:35 this morning. It was last this cool on June 5th at 8:18 CDT, just under 81 days ago.

I like summer, I really do. And I recognize that the overnight low at O'Hare this morning (12.8°C) was a bit below normal for August 25th (17.8°C). Still, I didn't sleep with the windows open for 22 days, which may be a (summer) record. That's too long.

The next few days should remain unseasonably (but delightfully) cool before it gets warm again after Labor Day.

Much, much better weather, finally

As I showed yesterday, this summer we've had significantly higher temperatures and dewpoints than last summer. Finally, around 8 this morning, the dewpoint dropped below 20°C and has kept dropping, while the temperature peaked at 23.4°C just after 1:

The dewpoint is now 17.7°C, which feels so much better than 20°C that I almost feel giddy. Autumn begins in 10 days. This is a lovely preview.

It really is more humid this summer

I have grumbled and complained a lot this summer about the dewpoint, and it turns out I was right all along. Examining over 23,600 readings from Inner Drive Technology World HQ's weather station from 2024 and 2025, I found the following:

Jun 1 to Aug 21/19 (UTC)

2024

2025

Avg temperature

22.6°C

23.5°C

Avg dewpoint

17.9°C

19.2°C

(June)

16.8°C

16.8°C

(July)

18.9°C

20.8°C

(August)

18.4°C

20.5°C

Total days dewpoint ≥ 20°C

27

41

Total readings dewpoint ≥ 20°C

3791

5624

Total readings

11317

11317

This is an apples-to-apples comparison of the data. I used the same number of readings instead of the exact date and time, so the 11,317 readings are from from June 1st at midnight UTC through 21 August 2024 8:07 UTC and 19 August 2025 19:22 UTC, respectively. There was one 5-hour gap in 2025 when the station lost contact with the Internet, but otherwise, the readings are 10 minutes apart with the occasional missed reading.

As you can see, June had the same average dewpoint both years, but then July and August just got swampy this year, both months smothering us with dewpoints almost 2°C higher than last year. Fully 49.7% of the 2025 readings have been over 20°C, while only 33.5% of 2024's were that humid. And because the 2024 sample was about 36 hours longer than 2025, the 27 days that had average dewpoints of at least 20°C were only 33.3% of the 81 days sampled; this year's 41 days were of the 79 days since June 1st, giving us muggy days 51.9% of the time.

It will be interesting to see the full summer data from 2025. (Unfortunately, though the IDTWHQ weather station came online 30 September 2021, Weather Now only started gathering Netatmo data on 25 September 2023.) The important thing is: if you think Chicago weather has sucked more than usual this summer, you're not imagining it.

Tuesday morning link dump

I have a chunk of work to do this afternoon, but I'm hoping I can sneak in some time to read all of these:

Finally, after complaints up and down the lakefront that the US Air Force Thunderbirds caused a sonic boom during Chicago Air and Water Show practice on Friday, University of Illinois aeronautics professor Matthew Clarke says that while none of the F-16s appear to have exceeded Mach 1, he is confident that part of one of the planes did. “Even though the global flow may not be faster than the speed of sound, there are places locally faster than the speed of sound, creating shock waves,” he said. “While I can’t say that the whole plane went supersonic, I can say — from the video — shock waves [were created] from parts of the aircraft.” The mini-sonic boom broke the lobby windows of four Lakeview high-rises but caused no significant injuries.

Also: I am beyond overjoyed that the National Weather Service predicts dewpoints below 18°C by Wednesday and below 15°C by Saturday. We have had the most uncomfortable summer that I can remember, with dewpoints at Inner Drive Technology WHQ lingering above 20°C since 10:30 Friday morning after a very brief respite on Thursday. If I have time this week, I'm going to analyze the data to see exactly how humid it's been here lately. But this prediction is delightful:

Thoughts about the OAFPOTUS's takeover of DC

The OAFPOTUS has moved to federalize the Washington, D.C., police force under the DC Home Rule statute that gives him a little more than a month to do so before Congress has to consent. As with many of his more dramatic trolls, this has sent everyone to the left of Mitch McConnell into varying degrees of outrage.

Asawin Suebsaeng and Ryan Bort warn that the "military crackdowns are only going to get worse:"

The president and his top government appointees are publicly stressing that this will not end with D.C. and L.A., that other military options are very much on the table. The facts, the laws, and data do not seem to matter: Trump and his team believe he can do whatever he wants, whenever he wants, including using the U.S. armed forces for domestic political purposes as well as intimidating his enemies. His team is privately putting together plans for him to do just that.

Trump has long yearned to unleash the military on American soil for his political agenda, and the D.C. and L.A. deployments this summer are critical stepping stones in his increasingly authoritarian government’s vision for punishing his enemies Democratic area of the country, carrying out his brutal immigration agenda, and making life hell for unhoused people. Trump said on Monday that federal forces will work to remove “homeless encampments from all over our parks,” and that the unhoused will not be “allowed to turn our capital into a wasteland for the world to see.”

Trump officials note that it is a priority of the president’s that these kinds of military deployments — in L.A., and now D.C., in times of relative calm — become normalized in American political culture.

(Emphasis mine.) Federal agents have already started clearing DC homeless encampments and marching the homeless off to jail in a show of performative cruelty unmatched since Jim Crow.

Josh Marshall warns us not to get distracted by the legal niceties and to look at this as the first of many steps to occupy left-leaning US cities:

My argument was that even though the unique rules governing DC make this legal it is by Trump’s own argument part of a rollout he envisions for using federal police (ICE, CBP, FBI) and the National Guard to start taking over policing in big U.S. cities, universally blue cities and in every case in blue states.

We are fundamentally in a battle over public opinion. If a decisive majority of the public opposes Trump, his rule and criminality won’t stand. What follows from that is that what might be technically legal under some obscure statute or simply unreviewable isn’t the point. That’s deep in the weeds. That’s Michael Dukakis delving into statutes and principled opposition to the death penalty when the moment calls for modulated fury and outrage.

The issue is do people want to live under martial law, in cities occupied by the military.

Radley Balko breaks down "the White House lies about DC:"

So let’s get this out of the way, first: As I wrote in my previous post, Donald Trump’s “takeover” of Washington, D.C. is authoritarian thuggery. It’s a projection of power, driven by retrograde racism. It has nothing to do with recent crimes, or actual crime, or actual crime rates. We know this because it’s been in the works for more than a year. That said, I think it’s still important to point out when they’re lying. And everything they’re claiming in justification of the deployment of National Guard troops to D.C. is a lie.

This seems like a good time to remind everyone that when he first entered the White House in 2017, Donald Trump inherited the lowest murder rate of any president in 50 years. Four years later, he was the first president in 30 years to leave with a higher murder rate than when he started.

Deploying the military won’t make people safer — and it won’t make people feel safer. We’re seeing more disorder because the pandemic brought a surge in mental illness, substance abuse, and homelessness, and funding for social programs hasn’t returned to pre-pandemic levels. Now that the Trump administration has taken a huge bite out of federal supplemental funding for those programs, it’s probably going to get worse.

I’m fairly comfortable predicting that, contrary to the administration’s claims, Donald Trump will not end crime in D.C. I’ll also go out on a limb and predict that the Democrats are not going to unravel civilization. To the extent that our own civilization is in jeopardy, Donald Trump is a big part of the cause.

NPR's Steve Inskeep, a DC resident, says "of course DC has crime," but c'mon, man:

[T]here is crime, and local politicos know they need to address it. But that’s not really the question raised by President Trump’s decision to seize formal control of the DC police and send in federal agents to help them.

Trump’s declaration, and all the rhetoric that accompanied it, lean into prejudice. People who do not live in big cities are conditioned to be afraid of them. I learned this as someone who did not grow up in a big city. The declaration plays on that fear, and widens the gulf between Americans.

Statistics are different from place to place. But unfortunately, crime is everywhere and anywhere; you are more likely to have a drug problem in your own family or on your own block than you are to encounter trouble in somebody else’s city.

James Fallows contrasts the OAFPOTUS's deranged ranting with "what it actually 'feels like' in DC:"

Donald Trump obviously does not know this city. According to press accounts, and to judge by his own rhetoric, Trump lurched into declaring a “public safety emergency” for DC based mainly on two pieces of evidence. One was the reported injury of the 19-year-old former Doge staffer Edward Coristine, generally known as “Big Balls,” in an alleged carjacking. The other was Trump’s alarm at seeing a homeless encampment while being driven from the White House to his own golf course in Northern Virginia.

Anyone in DC can tell you that it has big problems. My experience is that the same is true of anyone in Shanghai about their home city, anyone in LA about LA, any Londoner about London, anyone anywhere about the place they live.

But if you can find anybody who knew the area in the 1970s, the 1980s, or even the 1990s, and does not think that the DC of 2025 is vastly more pleasant, more stimulating, more beautiful, more environmentally sustainable, more cultured, better managed, and safer than it was a generation ago, then you have found someone detached from reality.

What’s the even bigger problem for DC? Taxation without representation.

Anyone paying attention to city life in the US knows the OAFPOTUS is full of shit. But that doesn't mean he can't make life difficult for everyone he hates. I'm glad DC is pushing back to the extent they're able, and I know that Illinois will push back as well if he tries that shit here. It's going to be a long 18 months until the next Congress.

We really don't want to lose the arts

Former Chicago Opera Theater artistic director Lidya Yankovskaya, with whom I have worked several times, has started moving to London because she doesn't want her children to grow up in the anti-humanities environment the United States is becoming:

“I want to be sure that my children can grow up feeling like they can always express themselves freely. I want my children to live in a society that really takes care of its people. I want my children to live in a world that really values things like the arts, that really values things like education,” she told WBEZ on a recent Zoom call from Sydney, where she has been leading Georges Bizet’s classic “Carmen” at the Sydney Opera House. “In London in particular, there is such a culture of valuing intellectualism, of valuing the arts and artistic pursuits for their own sake.”

As I'm no longer eligible for the kinds of highly-skilled migrant visas I could get 15 years ago from Europe and the UK, I am a bit envious. But I also understand her completely, and if I had kids, I might also make more of a concerted effort to go somewhere closer to my values.

Two more nuggets about the end of the United States as a functioning country:

Well, that's enough optimism and cheer for one afternoon! Time to get back to my real job.

New record heat index set Thursday

Dayrestan, Iran, sits on an island just inside the Strait of Hormuz directly across the Persian Gulf from the UAE. At 9:30 am local time Thursday, the airport weather station reported a temperature of 40°C with a dewpoint of 36°C, which makes a heat index of 83.2°C (181.8°F). AccuWeather says it was likely an instrument error, though the next station over, in Bandar Abbass, reported a temperature of 39°C with a 27°C dewpoint for a heat index of 52.3°C (126.1°F) at the same time—hardly an improvement. Bandar Abbass got up to 42°C with a 56.3°C (133.3°F) heat index later in the day, so I will not plan any summer vacations there in the near future. (Well, that and US citizens aren't allowed to visit Iran, but still.)

Elsewhere:

  • Both Michael Tomasky and former Pro Publica president Richard Tofel argue that news outlets need to stop both-sidesing the OAFPOTUS and call him out on his lies more directly.
  • Nobel-winning economist George Akerlof likens the OAFPOTUS's tantrum over the Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs report to a 5-year-old playing a board game.
  • A group of Democratic legislators from Texas have decided to vacation in Chicago this week to deny Texas Republicans a quorum in the state's House of Representatives in an effort to stop the anti-democratic redistricting plan the OAFPOTUS wants them to pass.

Finally, one of the three endangered piping plovers that hatched at Montrose Beach six weeks ago got eaten by a hawk over the weekend. RIP Ferris.